GENERAL
Will this program use Post Time Daily numbers?
Yes, only Post Time Daily comma delimited files. It imports the data files into an relational MS Access mdb.
Do you show variance or is it calculated in the program?
Track variance is not calculated. Although conditions are taken into consideration in some of the speed calculations.
Will the consensus help in picking the key horse or in exactas and
trifectas?
That's what it was designed for.
Top 3-4 EX
Top 4-5 TRI-SUP
How do we get into advanced settings ?
From the Options menu at the top of the main background screen.
In setting the parameters, what do we put in for the track model?
Just a one word description for the type of race, type of track, or combination of the two, but not really even limited to that. It could be anything. Using this feature is optional. It will just store the percentage values you applied and let you give a meaningful one word reference, and a more detailed 255 character description. After saving this, you can go back and reuse these settings by choosing Parameters from the Factors form and then selecting the track model you wish to use. You can also delete or clean up these saved setting if you wish. There has been no standard established on how to use these, that is up to you.
SPEED/TURNTIME/VELOCITY
Recency of early and late speed, how far back does the program go, or
can we set it for how far we want to go back?
Early and Late speed are both based upon a maximum of the last four races or factored thereof.
Are Early Speed and Late Speed the only factors where the lower number is best?
Form is the difference between Early and Late and the lower the Form means a closer.
What does velocity mean and what does it do in the program?
Projected feet per second. Applies points the same as other factors.
What is the difference in the turn time or early speed?
Early speed is based upon first and second calls. Turn time is the avg. position from the first call to the head of the stretch.
What does Velocity measure, is it the total velocity of the race or a certain segment?
Velocity is projected feet per second with bias applied for sprints, routes, and track conditions.
In the early or late speed could you please tell us if it is better
for the higher or lower numbers ?
Lower numbers are better for both, but always look for first time starters, and incomplete data.
In the turn time and velocity again are we looking at the higher or lower numbers?
On the report, TTavgpos, is the horses average position of his pacelines at the head of the stretch, the lower the better. Projected feet per second is higher the better. I try to use workouts to calculate this if the horse is a first time starter.
PACE
What is the difference between Early Speed and Pace?
Pace numbers are derived from Post Time Daily's supplied data and Early Speed is a derivative of first and second call positions for the last four pacelines or a factor thereof.
CLASS
How does it rate class, does it show if a horse is going up, down, or the same class?
The calculation contains the purse value and the race type factor. This program does not look at class drop or class jump, the racing form contains that. Also, earlier versions of Post Time Daily data, prior to version 1.5 do not contain all of the required fields for this calculation.
In the class how are you rating, are you going with the purse or claiming, maiden value?
It is using purse and applying race type with it.
NOTE: The class calculations have changed in version 1.2 for the better. The new version not only looks at purse value, but how well the horse actually performed in the race. I am calling this Class Performance.
FORM
What is form?
Form is the difference between Early and Late and the lower the Form means a closer.
What does form mean in the program?
Closer - Loser Difference of Early and Late speed.
What does the minus signs mean in the form, are we suppose to look for the higher or lower numbers with or without the minus ?
- means a bigger closer
For example, a -12 is a much better closer than a -2 but both are closers. They both come on harder in the second half of the race than they do in the first half.
RECENCY/RWO
How far back does the program go for recency in races or workouts, also can we set the days on how far we would want to see?
Points and percentages are applied for recent workouts and recency, based upon the Advanced settings. Both factors are either true or false.
What does RWO stand for and the True or False readings mean?
True is equal to a recent workout based upon the number of days specified in the advanced settings.
In the RWO what does the also and true mean and how do we rate them?
Indicates a recent workout in the last X days. X adjustable is in advanced settings.
BEYER
How many races does the program go back to get the beyer distance?
I try to use the last three, or a factor thereof.
NOTE: The beyer calculations have been modified in version 1.2 to look at all past performances for consistency.
SCRATCHES
How do I scratch a horse after a race is loaded into the program?
The program does not allow for input of scratches.
If a horse scratches would it change any of the numbers in the program?
No
POINT SETTINGS/PERCENTAGES
What is the lowest point settings, if the highest points is 100, also can we set our own point settings ?
You determine the point settings in the advanced settings. The ranges for the factors vary dependent on how I am calculating the consensus. Most are 50 points max.
Does the program average a race by the number of horses in a race, or are these numbers the true ability of the horse ?
This scores the entries based upon paceline calculations, then is flexible enough to apply points to the factors through the settings to calculate the consensus. Most are logarithmic. Ex. Based upon 50 total points possible applied at 100%.
Order |
Horse |
Calculated Score |
Points Applied to Factor |
1 |
Horse1 |
23 |
50 |
2 |
Horse2 |
21 |
45.65 |
3 |
Horse3 |
18 |
39.13 |
